Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Current value
- $3.85K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $16.15K
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- -$6.15K
Polymarket Trader
On.The.Spectrum
0xe4de861d59e174d3d153a5968bc122c66f30c949
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.71K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $16.15K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $3.85K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $6.15K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $5.53K
- Potential payout
- $8.71K
- Potential profit
- $3.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $392.05
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $4.29K
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $728.18
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $276.21
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.2%
- Current value
- $794.71
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $261.52
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $139.47
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $84.35
- Potential payout
- $620.23
- Potential profit
- $535.88
- Multiplier
- 7.35x
- User PnL
- -$2.48
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$2
N
No position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $2.94
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 14% 620.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 80% 3,286.96 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 80% 1,735 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 59% 8,712.23 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?No 62% 1,056.23 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?Yes 21% 9.52 shares
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?No 34% 2.94 shares