No position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $197.89
- Potential payout
- $237
- Potential profit
- $39.11
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $86.8
Polymarket Trader
usdfscascasd
0xe4f31f2a3717ae1dd75fe19fca900d37f28cb9f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $365.69
- Realized PnL
- $296.7
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$12
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $120
- User PnL
- -$100.8
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $115.74
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $4.26
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.22
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $117
- Potential profit
- $115.77
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$42.06
No position
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $107
- Potential profit
- $102.51
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$8.35
No position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $21.93
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $64.07
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$6.45
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.2%
- Current value
- $24.4
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196
No position
Will Trump visit China by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.85
Yes position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.87
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No 33% 86 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 91% 18 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84.6% 28 shares
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?No 12% 107 shares
- SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes 88% 113.64 shares
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes 15.6% 205 shares
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes 37.8% 205 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 98.2% 150 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 37% 117 shares
- Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 46.9% 237 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 231.4 shares
- Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?Yes 33% 205 shares