Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.14K
- Potential profit
- $128.14K
- User PnL
- -$14.47K
Polymarket Trader
0xPolymarketAnon
0xe4f5305ba3cc55013196ad7888e427c06e239663
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $88.87K
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$1.71K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.8K
- Potential profit
- $27.8K
- User PnL
- -$376.61
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.52K
- Potential profit
- $25.52K
- User PnL
- -$354.21
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.32K
- Potential profit
- $24.32K
- User PnL
- -$372.07
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.79K
- Potential profit
- $20.79K
- User PnL
- -$388.97
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran before September?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$1.61K
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.45K
- Potential profit
- $13.45K
- User PnL
- -$252.55
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.1K
- Potential profit
- $11.1K
- User PnL
- -$143.52
Yes position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$895.89
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.03K
- Potential profit
- $8.03K
- User PnL
- -$125.28
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.28K
- Potential profit
- $7.28K
- User PnL
- -$863.34
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.34K
- Potential profit
- $6.34K
- User PnL
- -$89.62
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.82K
- Potential profit
- $5.82K
- User PnL
- -$216.71
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$74.63
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$70.53
Yes position
Nuclear weapon detonation before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$193.1
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.28K
- Potential profit
- $4.28K
- User PnL
- -$508.68
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.03K
- Potential profit
- $4.03K
- User PnL
- -$124.9
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- User PnL
- -$219
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.25K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.61K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.45K
Yes position
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2024?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.98
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2024 meeting?
Ends Jun 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.44
Yes position
Will Mark Kelly be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will a Republican win Oregon Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Beirut airport close by August 5?
Ends Aug 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.22
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$72.5
Yes position
Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$82.3
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$84
No position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$94.94
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will a Republican win New Mexico Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will a Trump family member win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$112.38
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$113.87
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2024 meeting?
Ends Jun 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$117.9
Yes position
Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$140
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes 3.9% 5,000 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Yes 4.4% 5,000 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes 5.9% 187.96 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes 5.4% 211.77 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes 4.7% 416.85 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes 17.5% 239 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes 16% 166 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes 12.7% 3,116.69 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?Yes 10.6% 3,757.34 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?Yes 3.5% 1,098.55 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes 1.2% 178.98 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes 1.8% 8,267.24 shares