No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $185.25
- Potential payout
- $191.87
- Potential profit
- $6.62
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.43
Polymarket Trader
0xe4f9...9ab0
0xe4f9e64d27c5fc79f35a5cbbbfcd9e3cedd49ab0
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $576.96
- Realized PnL
- $614.59
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $27.59
- Potential payout
- $104.12
- Potential profit
- $76.53
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $98.8
- Potential payout
- $98.85
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $43.55
- Potential payout
- $84.56
- Potential profit
- $41.01
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $5.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $70.62
- Potential profit
- $61.79
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $64.96
- Potential payout
- $64.99
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $41.62
- Potential payout
- $43.1
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $27.78
- Potential payout
- $27.81
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $2.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $19.97
- Potential payout
- $25.77
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.89
- Potential payout
- $19.9
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.18
- Potential payout
- $19.19
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.29
- Potential payout
- $13.29
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $6.28
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.75
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.16
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.88
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 19?Yes 13% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 19?No 99.9% 13.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 27% 22.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 24% 21.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 18% 9.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 18% 23.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 19?Yes 17% 20.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on June 19?No 99.8% 19.19 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?No 99.9% 6.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?No 99.9% 98.85 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 19?No 99.4% 4.98 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 19?No 98.9% 43.1 shares