Polymarket Trader

Octavio1000

0xe4febebbd869ac471a2eeea6fabfe585b4d57d10

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $734.2
Realized PnL: $2.52
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $10.17
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.83

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $599.98
Potential payout: $1.38K
Potential profit: $779.28
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$278.16

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $45.95
Potential payout: $799.12
Potential profit: $753.17
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $7.42
Potential payout: $674.87
Potential profit: $667.45
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$27.58

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $432.15
Potential profit: $429.13
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$26.97

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $67.65
Potential payout: $276.12
Potential profit: $208.47
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$32.35

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.07
Potential profit: $218.07
User PnL: -$106.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.7% 799.12 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 64% 53.13 shares
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5.2% 674.87 shares
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 6.9% 432.15 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 36.2% 276.12 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 64% 937.5 shares
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 0.8% 1,849.16 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 64% 309.41 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 63% 34.92 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 62% 4 shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 62% 2 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

No 42% 84.05 shares

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