Polymarket Trader

0xE4fEF3b62DB86d32aA4A7CB55A8535245DD94fcC-1779261403471

0xe4fef3b62db86d32aa4a7cb55a8535245dd94fcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $9.52
Realized PnL: -$4.05
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.43
Potential profit: $19.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bond" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $2.68
Potential payout: $7.06
Potential profit: $4.38
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$3.32

Yes position

Will Trump say "No No No" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.04
Potential profit: $6.04
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $5.48
Potential payout: $5.95
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.48

Yes position

Will Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.39
Potential profit: $3.39
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $1.23
Potential profit: $1.03
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Dr. Oz say "Democrat" or "Democratic" during the press briefing?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.16
Potential payout: $1.16
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Father" 5+ times on Thursday?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Trump" 5+ times on Thursday?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 21, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 23, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "All time high" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Dr. Oz say "Democrat" or "Democratic" during the press briefing?

Yes 86% 1.16 shares
Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?

Yes 81% 1.23 shares
Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June?

No 84% 5.95 shares
Will Trump say "Bond" in June?

Yes 85% 7.06 shares
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Yes 82.8% 6.04 shares
Will Trump say "Deal" 15+ times during Cabinet meeting?

Yes 65% 1.54 shares
Will Trump post "NATO" on Truth Social this week?

Yes 59% 3.39 shares
Will Trump say "Nuke" this week?

Yes 52% 9.62 shares
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Yes 59% 10.2 shares
Will Trump say "No No No" this week?

Yes 15% 6.67 shares
Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?

Yes 51.5% 19.43 shares