Polymarket Trader

0xE506b515a34A42763d69ab301824937909E21BCc-1764953833594

0xe506b515a34a42763d69ab301824937909e21bcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.49
Realized PnL: $2.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.22K
Potential profit: $3.22K
User PnL: -$275.17

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $52.49
Potential payout: $999.84
Potential profit: $947.35
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: -$25.5

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $649.35
Potential profit: $649.35
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $401.54
Potential profit: $401.54
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.22
Potential profit: $287.22
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $225.92
Potential profit: $225.92
User PnL: -$31.05

No position

Prince Andrew released by February 22?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.2
Potential profit: $200.2
User PnL: -$6.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.39

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $257.14

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.69

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.02

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $77.56

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 2AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6AM ET

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.99

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 5AM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 53% 18.87 shares
Spread: Czechia (-1.5)

Czechia 28% 17.86 shares
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)

Switzerland 36% 13.89 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 64% 7.81 shares
Spread: Germany (-2.5)

Germany 19% 26.32 shares
Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Germany 8% 62.5 shares
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 58% 34.48 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 60% 1.67 shares
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 69% 4.35 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares