fsedaT43Wfvq43f5q31

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $115.54
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $115.59
Potential profit: $114.83
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 29°C or higher on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $8.95
Potential payout: $27.55
Potential profit: $18.6
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $4.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.38
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $21.63
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $22.99
Potential profit: $22.91
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.1
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $21.71
Potential profit: $21.43
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $19.4
Potential profit: $19.14
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $14.91
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.31
Potential payout: $18.12
Potential profit: $17.81
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$1.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $16.71
Potential profit: $16.66
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $16.46
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $11.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.56
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$2.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $16.57
Potential profit: $13.26
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $16.56
Potential profit: $8.36
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $5.66
Potential payout: $15.94
Potential profit: $10.28
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $8.05
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $7.58
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $3.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $6.01
Potential payout: $14.84
Potential profit: $8.83
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $1.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $4.39
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $7.8
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $0.51
Potential payout: $12.17
Potential profit: $11.66
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $11.91
Potential profit: $10.42
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or higher on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 16?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on June 14?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 20?