Polymarket Trader

0xe513...9675

0xe5139ca45a1235131125175bba2e41c5b2d89675

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $48.45
Realized PnL: $78.6
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.41
Potential profit: $80.41
User PnL: -$25.4

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.41
Potential profit: $69.41
User PnL: -$25.7

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.92
Potential profit: $57.92
User PnL: -$3.48

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $48.4
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $1.6
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 17m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.84
Potential profit: $38.84
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.76
Potential profit: $30.76
User PnL: -$3.14

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.3

Yes position

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.14
Potential profit: $15.14
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 19m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.33
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.41
Potential profit: $11.41
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $23.93

Yes position

Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.55

No position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.47

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

Yes position

Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.44

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will Iran strike Bahrain again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 7% 15.14 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 99% 30 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 84% 30 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 98% 10 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 2.7% 5 shares
Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 42% 2.55 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 42% 4.64 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 99.1% 86.2 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 11.41 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 15% 10 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 8% 20 shares