Polymarket Trader

Sviestmaize

0xe51ead05faf46a05b9260e4bb7117f95404c1a85

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.18K
Realized PnL: $2.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.9%
Current value: $848.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $151.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $348.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $151.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $848.5
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: -$348.5

Yes position

Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 14.7%
Current value: $95.88
Potential payout: $654.44
Potential profit: $558.57
Multiplier: 6.83x
User PnL: $28.52

No position

Human moon landing in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $582.59
Potential payout: $599.99
Potential profit: $17.4
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $23.4

No position

Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $288.11
Potential payout: $294.14
Potential profit: $6.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $61.62

Yes position

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $117.92
Potential payout: $176
Potential profit: $58.08
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $52.76

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $20.05
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $79.95
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$29.95

paiN position

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$38

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $79.95
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $20.05
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $29.95

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.99
Potential profit: $34.99
User PnL: -$8.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710.2

No position

Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.1

No position

Will Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.37

Yes position

Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.25

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.4

No position

Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.38

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs TheMongolz (BO3)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

M80 position

Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3)

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.29

Latvia position

World Championships: Latvia vs. USA

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.09

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 58.9%
Multiplier: 1.70x
User PnL: $86.59

No position

Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.3

Legacy position

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.85

Yes position

Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?

Ends Oct 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.21

No position

Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 79%
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $60.93

No position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.22

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO1)

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52

Vitality position

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe (BO5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.4

TheMongolz position

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.16

Yes position

Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.1

No position

Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 12?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.4

No position

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Ends Aug 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.05

3DMAX position

Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3)

Ends Oct 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.34

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

Team Falcons 36% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs

FURIA 45% 88.89 shares
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A

paiN 38% 100 shares
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Legacy 33% 100 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Yes 33.8% 9.85 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No 89.3% 294.13 shares
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No 91.3% 11.72 shares
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?

Yes 10% 5 shares
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?

Yes 34.5% 49.99 shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

No 93% 600 shares
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 47% 70 shares