Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$100.3
Polymarket Trader
Scarface93
0xe51ef8b1b97b629490121f14505f83419a1e5fb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $104.2
- Realized PnL
- -$931.66
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $104.2
- Potential payout
- $159.09
- Potential profit
- $54.89
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $34.2
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$51
Yes position
Will George Simion win by 0–6%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$23.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.67
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.51
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.8
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.55
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will Trump say "Mars" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26?
Ends Oct 26, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.98
No position
Trump wins every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$959
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 159.09 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes 65% 70.02 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 25% 140 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes 43% 140 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 78% 90.01 shares
- Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes 66% 90.02 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 96.1% 50 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 81% 50 shares
- Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Yes 59% 170 shares
- Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes 22% 105 shares
- Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?Yes 34% 150 shares
- Will George Simion win by 0–6%?Yes 21% 839.62 shares