kurganok

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $73.18
Potential payout: $897.97
Potential profit: $824.78
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$14.82

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $96.87
Potential payout: $892.86
Potential profit: $795.98
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$3.12

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $118.21
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $499.07
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: $18.21

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $85.49
Potential payout: $617.28
Potential profit: $531.79
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$14.51

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $407.42
Potential profit: $404.56
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$94.93

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $107.23
Potential payout: $240.96
Potential profit: $133.73
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$92.77

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $210.94
Potential profit: $210.94
User PnL: -$29.87

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $35.85
Potential payout: $178.79
Potential profit: $142.94
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $7.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.82
Potential profit: $146.82
User PnL: -$49.92

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $118.26
Potential payout: $118.67
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $17.89

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.06
Potential profit: $105.06
User PnL: -$49.92

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.51
Potential profit: $96.51
User PnL: -$49.95

Down position

Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.7
Potential profit: $93.7
User PnL: -$49.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.8
Potential profit: $90.8
User PnL: -$49.94

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.04
Potential profit: $90.04
User PnL: -$49.91

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.52
Potential profit: $89.52
User PnL: -$49.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.05
Potential profit: $86.05
User PnL: -$49.91

Down position

Solana Up or Down - June 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.34
Potential profit: $84.34
User PnL: -$49.68

Up position

Solana Up or Down - June 24, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.28
Potential profit: $83.28
User PnL: -$49.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.95
Potential profit: $82.95
User PnL: -$49.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.59
Potential profit: $81.59
User PnL: -$49.77

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.28
Potential profit: $81.28
User PnL: -$49.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81
Potential profit: $81
User PnL: -$49.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $537.38

Quentin Halys position

Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.61

Team Falcons position

Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.33

Hurricanes position

Canadiens vs. Hurricanes

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.53

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.99

Naomi Osaka position

Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osaka

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.41

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $58.53

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.75

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.13

Baltimore Orioles position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.9

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.41

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.12

Kiwoom DRX position

Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.55

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.47

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

No position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.41

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET