Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.25K
- Potential payout
- $257.57K
- Potential profit
- $253.32K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$901.5
Polymarket Trader
aff3
0xe52c0a1327a12edc7bd54ea6f37ce00a4ca96924
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $511.26K
- Realized PnL
- $228.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $14.52K
- Potential payout
- $257.02K
- Potential profit
- $242.5K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $485.77
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.2%
- Current value
- $18.5K
- Potential payout
- $226.99K
- Potential profit
- $208.49K
- Multiplier
- 12.27x
- User PnL
- -$3.26K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $34.67K
- Potential payout
- $187.9K
- Potential profit
- $153.24K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $1.87K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $24.04K
- Potential payout
- $174.87K
- Potential profit
- $150.82K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$5.28K
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $160.09K
- Potential payout
- $166.67K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.6K
Yes position
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.1%
- Current value
- $141.45K
- Potential payout
- $162.4K
- Potential profit
- $20.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$8.16K
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $9.88K
- Potential payout
- $148.6K
- Potential profit
- $138.72K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.4K
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $13.53K
- Potential payout
- $115.16K
- Potential profit
- $101.63K
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.9%
- Current value
- $13.68K
- Potential payout
- $106.43K
- Potential profit
- $92.76K
- Multiplier
- 7.78x
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $58.33K
- Potential payout
- $64.46K
- Potential profit
- $6.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.48K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $790
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $19.21K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $14.93K
- Potential payout
- $17.46K
- Potential profit
- $2.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $87.3
Yes position
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $2.59K
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $14.33
- User PnL
- $65.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.09K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.24K
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.34K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.88K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.1K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.01K
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.79K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.78K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $8.65K
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.52K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86K
No position
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.74K
No position
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.29K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.06K
No position
US military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67K
No position
Iranian coup attempt before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
No position
Will Switzerland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 87.8% 5,922.5 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.3% 39,099.07 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.5% 60,000 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 90% 12,008.57 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 89.4% 14,572.67 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?No 85% 17,460.49 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 91.5% 30,076.69 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?No 97.6% 50,036.02 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 88.9% 10,195.12 shares
- Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 96.9% 2,605.1 shares
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 95% 42,585.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.2% 31,113.79 shares