Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $12.08
- Potential payout
- $833.33
- Potential profit
- $821.25
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$12.92
Polymarket Trader
xpk
0xe535a1070df9abe83b65c9eef3be5d23ab2d5476
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.08
- Realized PnL
- $1.97
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $275
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.91
- Potential profit
- $130.91
- User PnL
- -$28.8
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130
- Potential profit
- $130
- User PnL
- -$10.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.72
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?15.2% 195.59 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 3% 833.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 0.3% 18,750 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 0.4% 18,750 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?14.4% 282.16 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?12.3% 125.68 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?9.1% 246.97 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?13% 125.68 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?9.7% 246.97 shares
- Will England win on 2026-07-15? AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?15.3% 282.16 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 8% 130 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes 8% 250 shares