Polymarket Trader

sjoerdvdmack

0xe53dd0ae9c5135fccc173f7800179622da72146c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $552
Realized PnL: $79.81
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.88K
Potential profit: $8.88K
User PnL: -$8.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $7.77K
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $7.77K
User PnL: -$7.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.66K
Potential profit: $6.66K
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44K
Potential profit: $4.44K
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.33K
Potential profit: $3.33K
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $2.22K
User PnL: -$2.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $97.63
Potential payout: $591.7
Potential profit: $494.07
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$43.91

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 25.3%
Current value: $148.71
Potential payout: $588.97
Potential profit: $440.26
Multiplier: 3.96x
User PnL: $27.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $70.68
Potential payout: $581.7
Potential profit: $511.02
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: $10.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $24.14
Potential payout: $581.7
Potential profit: $557.56
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $12.45
Potential payout: $581.7
Potential profit: $569.25
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$27.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $187.02
Potential payout: $581.7
Potential profit: $394.68
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $20.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $8.19
Potential payout: $545.87
Potential profit: $537.68
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.81
Potential profit: $276.81
User PnL: -$96.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.81
Potential profit: $276.81
User PnL: -$40.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.81
Potential profit: $276.81
User PnL: -$11.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.15
Potential profit: $253.15
User PnL: -$65.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $245.22
Potential profit: $245.22
User PnL: -$137.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $236.13
Potential profit: $232.94
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.38
Potential profit: $179.38
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.47
Potential profit: $178.47
User PnL: -$8.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 117.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 117.7 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 17% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 24.9% 7.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 58.46 shares
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 118.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 118.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 2.7% 118.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 19% 118.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 11.6% 118.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 25% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 4% 118.43 shares