Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $7.2
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $24.8
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Polymarket Trader
ToyaWTF
@ToyaDeFi
0xe54cc0e9b2127668de99d6c21f2f4d49d9582c69
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.36
- Realized PnL
- $398.44
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $7.97
- Potential payout
- $27
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $15.12
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.3
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $14.7
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $5.44
- Potential payout
- $18.15
- Potential profit
- $12.71
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $14.94
- Potential profit
- $11.65
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $9.87
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $13.65
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $12.11
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.89
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.99
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $4.62
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $9.38
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $8.89
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $12.81
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $1.19
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $13.98
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.39
- Potential profit
- $13.39
- User PnL
- -$9.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $4.23
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $8.78
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $12.46
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $0.54
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.59
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $12.86
- Potential profit
- $8.17
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $11.1
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.7%
- Current value
- $4.16
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- Multiplier
- 2.88x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $2.94
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $9.06
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.03
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.91
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on May 13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.11
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.53
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.78
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.98
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.86
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.81
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.68
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?No 73% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?Yes 27% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 20?Yes 30% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 20?Yes 24% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 20?Yes 26% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 20?Yes 34% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 20?Yes 27% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 20?Yes 28% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?Yes 7.6% 17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?Yes 25% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 20?Yes 25% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 19?No 53% 6.61 shares