Polymarket Trader

user202040303400

0xe54e1ed318ceec127c4d6fab26740b2598f6e651

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.28
Realized PnL: $967.71
Win rate: 25%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.55K
Potential profit: $98.55K
User PnL: -$999.91

Yes position

Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.96K
Potential profit: $11.96K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting?

Ends Mar 22, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.94K
Potential profit: $8.94K
User PnL: -$199.99

Yes position

Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.93K
Potential profit: $7.93K
User PnL: -$409.98

Yes position

Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?

Ends Dec 31, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.02K
Potential profit: $6.02K
User PnL: -$298.1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $5.1K
User PnL: -$190.66

No position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting?

Ends May 11, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.31K
Potential profit: $4.31K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier?

Ends Nov 24, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $3.58K
User PnL: -$135

Yes position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022?

Ends Aug 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$249.99

Yes position

[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?

Ends Nov 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.97K
Potential profit: $2.97K
User PnL: -$250

No position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022?

Ends Feb 8, 2022

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.28
Potential payout: $2.56K
Potential profit: $2.56K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$218.71

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023?

Ends Apr 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?

Ends Jun 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.12K
Potential profit: $2.12K
User PnL: -$385

Yes position

Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021?

Ends Nov 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will 227.5 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$35.99

Yes position

Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Ends Dec 2, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.24K
User PnL: -$200

No position

Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2023?

Ends Jun 1, 2023

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$40

Phillies position

MLB World Series: Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Ends Nov 5, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $967.75
Potential profit: $967.75
User PnL: -$132

No position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting?

Ends Jul 27, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $943.93
Potential profit: $943.93
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting?

Ends Sep 21, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $938.64
Potential profit: $938.64
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader?

Ends Dec 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $443.13
Potential profit: $443.13
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437.04
Potential profit: $437.04
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022?

Ends Mar 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $385.11
Potential profit: $385.11
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.12
Potential profit: $344.12
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting?

Ends Jun 15, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $976.77

No position

Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 956201.24x
User PnL: -$1.68

No position

Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier?

Ends Jan 15, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6637835.51x
User PnL: -$7.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 3.7% 5,103.32 shares
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8% 11,956.89 shares
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1% 98,551.69 shares
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?

Yes 5% 1,915 shares
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023?

Yes 11% 362.02 shares