Polymarket Trader

gengui

0xe55017e61cd13b6bf7e596bc0bba0fb3036def79

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.07K
Realized PnL: $8.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $111.93
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $66.24

No position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $961.54
Potential profit: $961.54
User PnL: -$500

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.2K

No position

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $445.3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $343.98

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.06

Yes position

Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200

Yes position

Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.33

Yes position

Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $162.79

No position

Russia announces air truce by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.05

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.58

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.27

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Monday?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.11

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.79

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.27

No position

Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.04

No position

Israel military action against Iran in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.06

No position

Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.82

No position

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.87

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.95

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.25

No position

Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 20% 1,903.06 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 20.2% 1,980.73 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 75% 5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 78.5% 127.47 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 79.9% 3,756.32 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 52.1% 1,289.36 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Up 77% 129.87 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 52% 961.54 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 77.6% 1,289.36 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 73% 15.76 shares
Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Yes 99% 1,003.72 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 79.7% 337.46 shares