No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $29.4K
- Potential payout
- $40.27K
- Potential profit
- $10.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $6.79K
Polymarket Trader
NeverYES
0xe55108581aec68af7686bd4cbc4f53ef93680a67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.71K
- Realized PnL
- $107.46K
- Win rate
- 78.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $5.03K
- Potential payout
- $10.59K
- Potential profit
- $5.56K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$1.43K
No position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $4.06K
- Potential payout
- $5.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$291.83
No position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $566.48
- Potential payout
- $717.06
- Potential profit
- $150.58
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $150.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.53K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.66K
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.31K
No position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $7.7K
No position
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $5.55K
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.67K
No position
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.61K
No position
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56K
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $587.92
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $164.06
No position
Will Backpack launch a token on March 15?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$200
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$857.24
No position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.25K
Yes position
Will Backpack launch a token on March 15?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?No 82% 5,306.1 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 78.4% 5,047.54 shares
- Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 80% 1,065.11 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token on March 15?Yes 1.4% 5,452.54 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token on March 15?Yes 81.7% 4,260.06 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token on March 15?Yes 1.1% 1,192.48 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No 61% 10,590 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 55% 5,002.69 shares
- Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 79% 1,100 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 88% 1,228 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No 88% 606 shares
- Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 79% 6,630.98 shares