Polymarket Trader

Ganglari

0xe555ecec5a000b43a5074a2ca811e42d372b4429

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $158.24
Realized PnL: -$59.77
Win rate: 47.6%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.55K
Potential profit: $3.55K
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $23.4
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$26.6

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $6.62
Potential payout: $378.08
Potential profit: $371.46
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$3.21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.6%
Current value: $52.8
Potential payout: $152.44
Potential profit: $99.63
Multiplier: 2.89x
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $56.74
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $73.7
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$3.26

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.4%
Current value: $18.68
Potential payout: $54.39
Potential profit: $35.71
Multiplier: 2.91x
User PnL: -$1.32

No position

Will Trump say "Our great First Lady" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.63
Potential profit: $12.63
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.14

Yes position

Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.63

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $24.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "White House" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.78

No position

US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.77

No position

Will Trump say "Not an Autopen" or "Not an Auto Pen" in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Yes position

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$3.07

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Inflation" 3+ times during Michigan visit?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-17 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$10.7

Yes position

Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$15.59

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$15.69

Yes position

Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.93

Yes position

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$90

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.8% 152.44 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 98% 55.65 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 378.08 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 14% 30.76 shares
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Yes 46% 130.43 shares
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 53.9% 55.66 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?

Yes 0.8% 3,553.81 shares
Will Trump say "Not an Autopen" or "Not an Auto Pen" in April?

No 50% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Our great First Lady" in April?

No 60% 16.67 shares
Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?

No 79.2% 12.63 shares
US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Yes 65% 30.77 shares