No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $2.61K
- Potential payout
- $2.62K
- Potential profit
- $6.55
- User PnL
- $1.31
Polymarket Trader
bausenlaw
0xe569275fa1cd58c794f6ab3171af06210f8ce9b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.61K
- Realized PnL
- $262.74
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.9
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.68
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.95
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.37
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.15
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.36
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.02
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.28
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.86
Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.2
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.7% 2,619.16 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.9% 1,717.05 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No 99.8% 35.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No 99.8% 1,200.52 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No 99.7% 479.06 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.8% 894.26 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.9% 2,604.05 shares
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No 99.6% 592.12 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97.3% 1,083.41 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 97.2% 737.27 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.5% 2,360.53 shares