Up position
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- User PnL
- -$5.22
Polymarket Trader
0xe56d...194f
0xe56da26c669d14f5fc2f4d96ea39f89e0033194f
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $46.71
- Realized PnL
- $4.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8PM ET
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.04
- Potential profit
- $5.04
- User PnL
- -$4.94
DFX Peek position
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs DFX Peek (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group C
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $4.94
- Potential profit
- $1.01
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 91.8%
- Current value
- $4.49
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $4.79
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.88
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 94.9%
- Current value
- $4.64
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
No position
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $4.74
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $4.77
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.71
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Will Future Front (FM) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $4.89
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $4.87
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Meta (META) Up or Down on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.51
Yes position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will no qualifying event occur on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Jeannette Jara win between 20% and 24% of votes in the first round?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of December 29?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Up position
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on November 26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will “Frankenstein” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 11 2025)
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
25bps cut position
Fed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bp cut" favored on Monday?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Jara win by at least 15%?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Future Front (FM) win the most seats in the 2026 Algerian parliamentary elections?No 99.8% 4.89 shares
- Will Sam Darnold be on the cover of Madden NFL 27?No 99.9% 4.87 shares
- Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No 99.9% 4.87 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?No 99.9% 4.87 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?No 99.9% 4.87 shares
- Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,204,000 and $1,237,000 on June 30?No 99.9% 4.87 shares
- Will the median home value in New York City be between $585,000 and $592,000 on June 30?No 99.9% 4.87 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 98.4% 4.93 shares
- Will Trump's remarks not air?No 99.6% 4.89 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?No 99.5% 4.86 shares
- Will "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?No 99.9% 4.82 shares
- Will "Disclosure Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 24m?No 99.9% 4.85 shares