Polymarket Trader

Arthur8198

0xe56e43233391dfe5aae77f6b41befc1f1bd1411c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $2.3
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

No position

Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be ≤3.9%?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?

Ends Sep 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Ken McFeeters win the 2026 Alabama Governor Republican primary election?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?

Ends Dec 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C or below on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.9% 6.81 shares
Will "Swapped" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

No 99.9% 9.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on June 8?

No 99.9% 8.51 shares
Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?

No 99.8% 13.71 shares
Will James Lally be the Democratic nominee for NV-03?

No 99.9% 13.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 8?

No 99.9% 6.21 shares
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C on June 8?

No 99.8% 8.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 6?

No 99.8% 17.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on June 6?

No 99.8% 14.33 shares
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on June 6, 2026?

No 99.9% 13.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 4?

No 99.9% 17.92 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?

No 99.9% 11.61 shares