Yes position
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $258.16
- Potential payout
- $24.59K
- Potential profit
- $24.33K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$110.24
Polymarket Trader
DrugsandStolenRVs
0xe570d14bf5ef1a0f58878cc70fc10e828fb0084e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $540.62
- Realized PnL
- $2.1K
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $20.54
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.77K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$4.46
Yes position
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $18.75
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.25
Yes position
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $993.5
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $992.5
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $26.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $973.5
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $4.5
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $958.33
- Potential profit
- $958.33
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $896.8
- Potential profit
- $896.8
- User PnL
- -$41
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $772.77
- Potential profit
- $772.77
- User PnL
- -$70.4
Yes position
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.9%
- Current value
- $202.67
- Potential payout
- $564.55
- Potential profit
- $361.88
- Multiplier
- 2.79x
- User PnL
- $167.68
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.88
- Potential profit
- $348.88
- User PnL
- -$141.4
No position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $329.03
- Potential profit
- $329.03
- User PnL
- -$102
Yadong position
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.57
- Potential profit
- $108.57
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.54
- Potential profit
- $107.54
- User PnL
- -$21.57
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.02
Yes position
Will the Seahawks win the 2026 NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210
No position
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.11
Yes position
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Gaethje position
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.12
Yes position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $70.64
Eagles position
Eagles vs. Packers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.63
Seahawks position
Rams vs. Seahawks
Ends Dec 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.15
Oilers position
Capitals vs. Oilers
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.31
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.23
Oilers position
Ducks vs. Oilers
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Packers position
Eagles vs. Packers
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.83
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Crypto" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the NFC West?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$97.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes 6.2% 564.55 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1% 13,238.72 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 41% 148.78 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 18% 121.26 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 18% 219.82 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 40.7% 50.1 shares
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 2% 1,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 19% 210.53 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 40% 150 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes 21% 238.1 shares
- Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.9% 838.26 shares
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.4% 1,785.71 shares