Polymarket Trader

fkmagafkelon

0xe5713580660f822eca5c4e6ffe1084503d360265

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.15K
Realized PnL: $3.62K
Win rate: 63.6%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $812.5
Potential payout: $125K
Potential profit: $124.19K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$187.5

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $552.63
Potential payout: $52.63K
Potential profit: $52.08K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$447.37

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33K
Potential profit: $33.33K
User PnL: -$999.98

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.69K
Potential profit: $20.69K
User PnL: -$3.5K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $728.83
Potential payout: $19.7K
Potential profit: $18.97K
Multiplier: 27.03x
User PnL: $228.83

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.46K
Potential profit: $16.46K
User PnL: -$6.5K

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29K
Potential profit: $14.29K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.16K
Potential profit: $11.16K
User PnL: -$999.99

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.17K
Potential profit: $8.17K
User PnL: -$149.99

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 9?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.67K
User PnL: -$314.98

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $53.13
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.2K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $3.13

Yes position

Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.83K
Potential profit: $5.83K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.34K
Potential profit: $5.34K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $4.12K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.68K
Potential profit: $3.68K
User PnL: -$400

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.05K
Potential profit: $3.05K
User PnL: -$500

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 20?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.99K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86K
Potential profit: $2.86K
User PnL: -$400

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$113.06

Yes position

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $555.56
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63K

Cavaliers position

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Pistons position

Magic vs. Pistons

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $805

No position

Will Solana reach $150 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $757.14

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.23

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358.7

No position

Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.98

Yes position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$41

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$400

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.11K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Raptors vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 74% 4,176.41 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Pistons 99.9% 3,108.1 shares
Magic vs. Pistons

Pistons 74% 3,108.11 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 36.1% 6,420.35 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?

Yes 8% 1,413.25 shares
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 0.8% 125,000 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?

No 98.9% 3,571.42 shares
Will Solana reach $150 in January?

No 98.4% 1,785.71 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 60.4% 2,361.76 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Yes 49.4% 2,751.01 shares
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Yes 50.9% 2,751.01 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 18% 11,111.11 shares