Polymarket Trader

0xE5731fCeD4aaAF53efc340b0Ed312Ad795B10A38-1780693908425

0xe5731fced4aaaf53efc340b0ed312ad795b10a38

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.94K
Realized PnL: -$2.19K
Win rate: 4.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $2.67K
Potential payout: $3.23K
Potential profit: $565.37
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$184.69

No position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group C?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $60.67
Potential payout: $66.3
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $60.29
Potential payout: $61.21
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.29

No position

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $49.43
Potential payout: $57.47
Potential profit: $8.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Argentina go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $54.18
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $2.64
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.18

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $56.82
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $39.68
Potential payout: $40.8
Potential profit: $1.12
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.18

Yes position

Will United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $11.04
Potential payout: $38.07
Potential profit: $27.03
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: $1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Over position

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$14.44

No position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.67

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.11K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 17.24 shares
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

No 88% 56.82 shares
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Over 76% 65.79 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 75% 1,893.45 shares
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 88.3% 3,171.86 shares
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group C?

No 92% 66.3 shares
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Yes 82.5% 60.62 shares
Will United States go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 74% 40.54 shares
Will Argentina go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 88% 56.82 shares
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 86% 58.14 shares
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24% 20.83 shares
Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 87% 57.47 shares