Polymarket Trader

TenChuSama

0xe57726b7cfb40056a20e25b526dd2782d0216c42

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.94K
Realized PnL: $17.61K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.3%
Current value: $1.04K
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $4.66K
Multiplier: 5.46x
User PnL: $95.65

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $4.62K
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $764.06

Yes position

Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.7K
Potential profit: $5.7K
User PnL: -$159.6

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $61.8
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $20.6

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $493.02
Potential payout: $605.01
Potential profit: $111.99
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $60.12

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $503.25
Potential payout: $550
Potential profit: $46.75
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $326.76
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $73.24
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$7.31

Yes position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399.8
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$43.8

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $76.6
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $323.4
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: -$6.2

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $279.29
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $20.7
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$133.4

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $75
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $63

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.8%
Current value: $61.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $138.5
Multiplier: 3.25x
User PnL: -$14.7

No position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $195.09
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.3

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $49.03
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $0.98
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $3.52

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 70.1%
Current value: $28.05
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $11.95
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: -$2.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18K

Yes position

FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $909.2

Yes position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $855.83

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $788.44

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $734.76

Yes position

Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $606.14

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $594

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $542.7

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $517.32

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $471.01

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $449.65

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.03

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.04

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.88

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $320.04

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.87

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $317.58

No position

Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $281.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance

Argentina 75.3% 40 shares
Spread: England (-2.5)

Norway 97.3% 100 shares
Spread: England (-2.5)

Norway 88.8% 100 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

No 78.5% 30 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 79% 10 shares
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

40.5% 35.94 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

No 83% 25 shares
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Spain 73% 60 shares
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Under 3.5 96% 24.21 shares
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

France 77.8% 20 shares
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Yes 64% 204.99 shares
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)

Switzerland 82% 30 shares