Polymarket Trader

zephyrS4

0xe584c18c4af125f16f5062f2f3fdb4478d2b9157

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $355.32
Realized PnL: -$0.32
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $10.59
Potential payout: $207.98
Potential profit: $197.39
Multiplier: 19.65x
User PnL: -$3.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $183.65
Potential profit: $183.56
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$37.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $32.76
Potential payout: $123.61
Potential profit: $90.85
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $4.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $121.59
Potential profit: $121.53
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $54.5
Potential payout: $110.11
Potential profit: $55.61
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $20.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $33.25
Potential payout: $88.66
Potential profit: $55.41
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $3.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 8%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $81.95
Potential profit: $75.39
Multiplier: 12.50x
User PnL: -$12.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $28.71
Potential payout: $74.58
Potential profit: $45.87
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $4.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $30.58
Potential payout: $68.73
Potential profit: $38.15
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $6.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $25.2
Potential payout: $67.21
Potential profit: $42.01
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $65.92
Potential profit: $65.89
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$17.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $28.57
Potential payout: $56.58
Potential profit: $28.01
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $22.41
Potential payout: $53.99
Potential profit: $31.58
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $19.05
Potential payout: $49.47
Potential profit: $30.42
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $3.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $16.23
Potential payout: $45.71
Potential profit: $29.48
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $21.38
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $23.63
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $17.37
Potential payout: $43.97
Potential profit: $26.6
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $35.42
Potential profit: $35.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$14.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $5.71
Potential payout: $16.08
Potential profit: $10.37
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $2.25
Potential payout: $12.16
Potential profit: $9.91
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.19
Potential profit: $10.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 9?

Yes 33% 16.08 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 8?

Yes 43% 10.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 9?

Yes 6.6% 207.98 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?

Yes 42% 43.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on July 9?

Yes 30.7% 49.47 shares
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 9?

Yes 43% 45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 9?

Yes 44% 53.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 9?

Yes 29.9% 45.71 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 8?

Yes 33% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8?

Yes 21.4% 121.59 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on July 9?

Yes 35% 68.73 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 9?

Yes 22.8% 123.61 shares