Polymarket Trader

retina

0xe58ed22dd13d959dd0ed22ae416e59246bfc2a67

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.08K
Realized PnL: $522.86
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $222
Potential payout: $3.42K
Potential profit: $3.19K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$222

Yes position

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $2.66K
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$111

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $883.5
Potential profit: $883.5
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $611.11
Potential profit: $611.11
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $523.43
Potential profit: $523.43
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $412.98
Potential payout: $522.76
Potential profit: $109.78
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $335.98

No position

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $259.11
Potential payout: $508.05
Potential profit: $248.95
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $37.11

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $408.13
Potential profit: $408.13
User PnL: -$35

No position

Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $346.57
Potential profit: $346.57
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $11.68
Potential payout: $330
Potential profit: $318.32
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$21.32

Yes position

Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $310.34
Potential profit: $310.34
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $275
Potential profit: $275
User PnL: -$77

Bills position

Bills vs. Falcons

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $257.79
Potential profit: $257.79
User PnL: -$99

Bills position

Bills vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $253.17
Potential profit: $253.17
User PnL: -$77

Vanderbilt position

Vanderbilt vs. Alabama

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$50

Vanderbilt position

Vanderbilt vs. Texas

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235.71
Potential profit: $235.71
User PnL: -$33

No position

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $228.34
Potential profit: $228.34
User PnL: -$111

Dolphins position

Dolphins vs. Bills

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.29
Potential profit: $214.29
User PnL: -$22.5

No position

Databricks IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $169.79
Potential payout: $212.24
Potential profit: $42.45
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$7.21

Yes position

Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209.52
Potential profit: $209.52
User PnL: -$44

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.11
Potential profit: $208.11
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $153.14
Potential profit: $153.14
User PnL: -$44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.5

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.44

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.62

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.9

Yes position

ZachXBT investigation post over 14M views on day one?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.67

Yes position

OpenAI browser by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.81

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.35

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33

Vanderbilt position

LSU vs. Vanderbilt

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.26

No position

Grok 5 released by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.02

Yes position

Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

Vanderbilt position

Missouri vs. Vanderbilt

Ends Oct 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.9

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.01

No position

Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19

No position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will Prodzy win the Legend Trade Series?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 23 to September 30, 2025?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$14.03

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$16.84

No position

Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.6%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$17.83

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$29.96

Yes position

Will Will Byers die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Colombia vs. Portugal: Neither team to score first?

Yes 18% 30 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 28% 275 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

2.3% 608.83 shares
Databricks IPO before 2027?

No 83.4% 212.24 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 11,000 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 42.3% 262.41 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 64.5% 223.4 shares
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Yes 72.4% 244.48 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 13% 3,415.38 shares
Will Prodzy win the Legend Trade Series?

Yes 14% 212.5 shares
Will Prodzy win the Legend Trade Series?

Yes 15.5% 212.5 shares
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?

No 48.6% 228.34 shares