Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $28K
- Potential profit
- $26.45K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$126
Polymarket Trader
trader-497
0xe5a1515f50b1203e4c1e639699b76bebeef83840
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.55K
- Realized PnL
- $9.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Wesley Hunt be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$8.61
Yes position
Will two candidates other than the listed pairs be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41
- Potential profit
- $41
- User PnL
- -$2.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on March 17?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $662.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $547.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $542.76
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $523.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $517.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.22
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $399.61
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $389.06
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.34
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.31
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on March 28?
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.83
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 20?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $332.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.97
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 78 and 79 million views on day 6?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $318.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.62
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6% 28,000 shares
- Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Yes 19% 19.99 shares
- Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Yes 8% 20 shares
- Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Yes 11.1% 20 shares
- Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Yes 7% 20 shares
- Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Yes 30.7% 20 shares
- Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?Yes 16% 20 shares
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?Yes 25% 5 shares
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.4%?Yes 2.6% 5 shares
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?Yes 67% 5 shares
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?Yes 0.1% 5 shares