Zig619

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25K
Potential profit: $9.25K
User PnL: -$18.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$13.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.97K
Potential profit: $7.97K
User PnL: -$15.95

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.75K
Potential profit: $6.75K
User PnL: -$20.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25K
Potential profit: $6.25K
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.75K
Potential profit: $5.75K
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $4.98K
User PnL: -$9.97

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.53K
Potential profit: $4.53K
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$25.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 14?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $3.15K
User PnL: -$13.32

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on May 11?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $2.63K
User PnL: -$11.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.51

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.97

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16.9%
Multiplier: 5.93x
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.67

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 26?