No position
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $4.22K
- User PnL
- -$4.22
Polymarket Trader
0xe5AC0cC34E555a0F7456163D5390bA6d291D560E-1778852073978
0xe5ac0cc34e555a0f7456163d5390ba6d291d560e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.57
- Realized PnL
- $0.2
- Win rate
- 38.5%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times on Thursday?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $21.44
- Potential payout
- $171.55
- Potential profit
- $150.11
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.24
- Potential profit
- $95.24
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.56
- Potential profit
- $45.56
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.71
- Potential profit
- $40.71
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $4.12
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $9.39
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.21
- Potential profit
- $4.21
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.69
No position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.71
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.69
No position
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yes 23% 8.7 shares
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?Yes 8% 11.9 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No 4.6% 28.57 shares
- Will Burgas host Eurovision 2027?Yes 9.4% 53 shares
- Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?No 50% 17.42 shares
- Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?No 28.7% 17.42 shares
- Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by June 30?Yes 42% 11.9 shares
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes 10.4% 81.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Yes 3% 70.42 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?Yes 7.1% 70.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETUp 1% 13.51 shares