Polymarket Trader

Kaiji-

0xe5bd42e02dc8c05b31514c1596eaf82d3e52339a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.43K
Realized PnL: $31.51K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.54K
Potential profit: $10.54K
User PnL: -$3.08K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $8.57K
User PnL: -$2.46K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $2.97K
Potential payout: $7.51K
Potential profit: $4.54K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $2.68K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $781.2
Potential payout: $7.51K
Potential profit: $6.73K
Multiplier: 9.62x
User PnL: $492.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $2.86K
Potential payout: $7.43K
Potential profit: $4.57K
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $2.57K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $624.26
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $6.72K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $297.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $106.24
Potential payout: $7.33K
Potential profit: $7.22K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$137.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $7.15K
User PnL: -$275.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.15K
Potential profit: $7.15K
User PnL: -$275.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $24.4
Potential payout: $6.97K
Potential profit: $6.95K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$183.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85K
Potential profit: $6.85K
User PnL: -$263.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85K
Potential profit: $6.85K
User PnL: -$263.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.85K
Potential profit: $6.85K
User PnL: -$263.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.6K
Potential profit: $6.6K
User PnL: -$253.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $48.86
Potential payout: $6.52K
Potential profit: $6.47K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$201.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
User PnL: -$250.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$247.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$247.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$247.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$247.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$247.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.26
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$247.19

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
User PnL: -$250.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.51K
Potential profit: $6.51K
User PnL: -$250.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.76K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.88K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.75K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $676.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.69

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.4

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on April 28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C or higher on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 74% 50.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 11% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 12% 32.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 13% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Yes 18% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 81.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Yes 25% 820.03 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?

Yes 35% 3.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?

Yes 29% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Yes 35% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Yes 23.3% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on May 19?

No 93.6% 12 shares