Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $6.02
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$72.74
Polymarket Trader
Camal
0xe5bd6db81668c0e5f0209b371b7a2b5459a6f03e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $384.24
- Realized PnL
- $5.61K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $212.46
- Potential payout
- $477.44
- Potential profit
- $264.98
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $80.91
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $33.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $366.2
- Multiplier
- 11.83x
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $22.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $277.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $99.14
- Potential payout
- $271.6
- Potential profit
- $172.47
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $38.53
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $8.68
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $191.32
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $73.35
- Multiplier
- 45.45x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.73
- Potential profit
- $11.73
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $496.2
Yes position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $365.88
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $350
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $313.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.99
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305.83
No position
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- $275.27
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.97
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.99
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.82
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.2
Yes position
Will Iran strike Oman again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $158.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $148.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.1
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 33% 277.44 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 2.9% 600 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?Yes 24% 136.53 shares
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?No 0.4% 100.1 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 2.5% 55 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 2.1% 500 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 17% 17.41 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 2.1% 1,400 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 15.6% 700 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 59.2% 121.31 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 55.9% 113.06 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 99.9% 189.99 shares