No position
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $23.54
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $20.46
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
Polymarket Trader
0xe5be...b639
0xe5be402529e3957c2dde618922ec8a1d4092b639
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $77.56
- Realized PnL
- -$13.69
- Win rate
- 46.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $3.76
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $20.24
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $4.59
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $13.41
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $2.07
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $11.96
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.46
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $10.98
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.67
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.34
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.41
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $5.58
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $4.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 17.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Yes position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8%
- Multiplier
- 12.50x
- User PnL
- -$10.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 15.3% 9 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 14% 8 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 14% 10 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 14.5% 15 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 51.8% 7 shares
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes 15% 7 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 92% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44.1% 7 shares
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes 23% 5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No 16% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 20.9% 15 shares