Yes position
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $344.98K
- Potential profit
- $344.98K
- User PnL
- -$182.84K
Polymarket Trader
dwFqcd4Z
0xe5c215ac428d4143f9ebc817c9ac6e717a2e2ab0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $151.9K
- Realized PnL
- $291.52K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.77K
- Potential profit
- $176.77K
- User PnL
- -$136.38K
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $165.08K
- Potential profit
- $165.08K
- User PnL
- -$148.77K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.91K
- Potential profit
- $123.91K
- User PnL
- -$105.11K
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $43.24K
- Potential payout
- $99.41K
- Potential profit
- $56.16K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $8.36K
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $68.33K
- Potential payout
- $80.86K
- Potential profit
- $12.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.26K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.52K
- Potential profit
- $33.52K
- User PnL
- -$29.07K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.58K
- Potential profit
- $26.58K
- User PnL
- -$13.55K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.39K
- Potential profit
- $17.39K
- User PnL
- -$3.65K
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.72K
- Potential profit
- $15.72K
- User PnL
- -$5.64K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.05K
- Potential profit
- $14.05K
- User PnL
- -$11.66K
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $11.22K
- Potential payout
- $12.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.37K
Under position
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.76K
- Potential profit
- $6.76K
- User PnL
- -$6.15K
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $5.97K
- Potential payout
- $6.34K
- Potential profit
- $364.43
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $891.4
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $5.2K
- Potential payout
- $6.15K
- Potential profit
- $953.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $615.73
No position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.01K
- Potential profit
- $6.01K
- User PnL
- -$4.68K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $5.41K
- Potential payout
- $5.98K
- Potential profit
- $567.98
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $627.77
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.07K
- Potential payout
- $4.1K
- Potential profit
- $28.67
- User PnL
- $392.19
No position
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- User PnL
- -$2.39K
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $234.79
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $579.68
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $435
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$222.34
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $177.78
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $63.2
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $1.61K
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $108.52
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $115.41
No position
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $223.02
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $32.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.59K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.46K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.16K
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.29K
Yes position
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.07K
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.91K
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.14K
No position
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.76K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.54K
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.47K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.01K
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.1K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.72K
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41K
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37K
No position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28K
No position
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 2.83 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 1,052.28 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 117,557.18 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 32,828.15 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?Yes 53% 193,537.41 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 94% 7,075.84 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 93% 263 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 90.9% 4,058.9 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 91.9% 31,465.73 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 91% 14,118.49 shares
- Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?Yes 68.9% 113,070.04 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No 45% 9,789.92 shares