No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $42.38
- Potential payout
- $61.43
- Potential profit
- $19.05
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Polymarket Trader
0xE5c8E8E5D5d5125EB4b81EC126AED53d2A422103-1781215499754
0xe5c8e8e5d5d5125eb4b81ec126aed53d2a422103
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $150.68
- Realized PnL
- $13.17
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $24.66
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $4.66
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $20.53
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $5.79
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $0.53
N
No position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $20.73
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $3.66
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $21.84
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $9.48
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $3.51
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
No position
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $7.04
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No 70% 61.43 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 76% 26.32 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?No 82% 24.39 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.5% 22.22 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.6% 60.97 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 89% 22.47 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 71% 7.04 shares
- Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 77% 12.99 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 58% 34.48 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 90% 22.22 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 95.3% 20.99 shares