Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.91
- Potential payout
- $909.09
- Potential profit
- $903.18
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Polymarket Trader
0xe5cf...7b4c
0xe5cf2c629c6595249d78f91b29d5a267dbf37b4c
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $296.79
- Realized PnL
- $5.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: July
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $73.71
- Potential payout
- $614.27
- Potential profit
- $540.55
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$26.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $516.84
- Potential profit
- $516.84
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $81.25
- Potential payout
- $124.04
- Potential profit
- $42.79
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Celtics position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.94
- Potential profit
- $114.94
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $13.49
- Potential payout
- $96.03
- Potential profit
- $82.54
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- $3.49
Yes position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $10.3
- Potential payout
- $74.07
- Potential profit
- $63.78
- Multiplier
- 7.19x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $11.79
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $59.64
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Current value
- $9.73
- Potential payout
- $68.06
- Potential profit
- $58.34
- Multiplier
- 7.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $5.03
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $47.06
- Multiplier
- 10.36x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $35.84
- Potential profit
- $22.94
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $19.84
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $12.42
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $26.39
- Potential profit
- $16.64
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $23.81
- Potential payout
- $23.81
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.81
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.9%
- Current value
- $9.35
- Potential payout
- $15.87
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- Multiplier
- 1.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pacers position
Pacers vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.33
Yes position
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.9
Yes position
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $316
Yes position
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.31
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $300.4
Wizards position
Wizards vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.33
USC Trojans position
USC Trojans vs. Wisconsin Badgers
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.79
Celtics position
Celtics vs. Warriors
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $258.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.26
Grizzlies position
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.03
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.91
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Grizzlies
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179.71
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.13
Delaware Fightin Blue Hens position
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.75
Cavaliers position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.84
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Spurs
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.33
Cavaliers position
Raptors vs. Cavaliers
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.4
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Bucks
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.98
SEA position
Big Game: First Team To Score
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.93
Pelicans position
Pelicans vs. Jazz
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.67
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.96
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 37.9% 26.39 shares
- Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 49% 61.22 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?No 62% 32.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?Yes 73% 13.7 shares
- Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?Yes 10.4% 96.03 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?Yes 27.9% 35.84 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 9.6% 52.08 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Will France win on 2026-07-04?Yes 84% 23.81 shares
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 13.5% 74.07 shares
- Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 14% 71.43 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 63% 15.87 shares