No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $4.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $181.25
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $175.23
Polymarket Trader
Filobestia
0xe5d7f91f7886fc307f3b17b9af56686b7857d8a3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.28K
- Realized PnL
- $9.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $339.91
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $11.66
No position
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 91.1%
- Current value
- $308.28
- Potential payout
- $338.58
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $21.59
Yes position
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $159.58
- Potential payout
- $303.96
- Potential profit
- $144.38
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $20.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.86
No position
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $877.71
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.77
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.89
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.92
Yes position
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.24
No position
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.14
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.49
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.52
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.57
No position
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.62
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.71
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.45
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.1
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.71
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.28
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.07
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.04
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.74
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.23
No position
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.86
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Yes 98.4% 37.5 shares
- Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?Yes 95% 794.84 shares
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Yes 98.5% 81.92 shares
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Yes 98% 170 shares
- Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026?Yes 96.3% 782.67 shares
- Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No 89% 82 shares
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?Yes 90.1% 51 shares
- Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?Yes 90.4% 150 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes 91% 0.5 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes 91% 15 shares
- Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in June?Yes 90.7% 40 shares
- Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in June?Yes 98.2% 78 shares