Polymarket Trader

VFALL

0xe5dcd52630848fd7803cd13c09208e8876f835f9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.31K
Realized PnL: $8.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.26K
Potential profit: $14.26K
User PnL: -$765.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.21K
Potential profit: $2.21K
User PnL: -$6.63

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.52K
User PnL: -$1.06K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.31K
Potential profit: $1.31K
User PnL: -$26.1

Yes position

Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$66.66

No position

US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$56.66

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $1.06K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $49.99
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $438.83

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $771.94
Potential profit: $771.94
User PnL: -$1.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 5AM ET

Ends Aug 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $605.92
Potential profit: $605.92
User PnL: -$459.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $568.17
Potential profit: $568.17
User PnL: -$36.07

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$547.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $555
Potential profit: $555
User PnL: -$5.55

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $510.59
Potential payout: $554.99
Potential profit: $44.4
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $112.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $548.81
Potential profit: $548.81
User PnL: -$369.49

Yes position

Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?

Ends Dec 21, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.59
Potential profit: $541.59
User PnL: -$270.68

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $540.3
Potential profit: $540.3
User PnL: -$85.97

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $513.84
Potential profit: $513.84
User PnL: -$10.16

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $352.66
Potential payout: $460.99
Potential profit: $108.33
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $163.29

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120K August 4–10?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437.98
Potential profit: $437.98
User PnL: -$358.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $434.37
Potential profit: $434.37
User PnL: -$430.02

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on March 18?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.56
Potential profit: $428.56
User PnL: -$320.56

FURIA position

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.5
Potential profit: $428.5
User PnL: -$269.96

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $383.26
Potential payout: $403.01
Potential profit: $19.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $87.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.07
Potential profit: $383.07
User PnL: -$319.57

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.29

No position

Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $447.67

No position

Another US military action against Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $435.88

No position

Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $427.84

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $400.33

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $381.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $377.29

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $359.82

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.78

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.67

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $347.12

No position

Will Kanye launch a coin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $335.75

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.43

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $328.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.76

Yes position

Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $301.84

No position

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?

Ends Jan 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $294.03

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $286.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $283.56

Yes position

Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $278.42

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $270.64

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $256.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

No 68% 42.7 shares
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

No 90% 20 shares
Will Trump publicly praise Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

No 85% 8.19 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 36% 10 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 35% 110.91 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 38.2% 9.46 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 39.1% 25 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 39.9% 5 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 39.4% 35 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 40.4% 27.95 shares
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?

No 81% 55 shares
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?

Yes 29% 20 shares