Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $9.64
- Potential payout
- $26.41
- Potential profit
- $16.77
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.72
Polymarket Trader
0xe5dd...edb6
0xe5dde991dcadabae6c54ee79ea6397216b4dedb6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $118.44
- Realized PnL
- $152.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 20
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $8.37
- Potential payout
- $15.07
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $10.36
- Potential payout
- $13.72
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $12.99
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$6.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.94
- Potential payout
- $11.83
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $11.45
- Potential profit
- $6.24
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $5.69
- Potential payout
- $10.17
- Potential profit
- $4.47
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $8.71
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.83
- Potential payout
- $9.55
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $8.86
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.72
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 57%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $3.5
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $7.7
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.26
No position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.62
- Potential payout
- $7.88
- Potential profit
- $6.26
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $2.14
- Potential payout
- $7.5
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.71
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $5.09
- Potential payout
- $6.57
- Potential profit
- $1.48
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.01
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 36%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.84
- Multiplier
- 2.78x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $3.05
- Potential profit
- $1.34
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.84
Yes position
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.88
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of February?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.77
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of May 11 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" or "MAGA" this week? (March 8)
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.91
Yes position
Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $675M and $750M at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.35
No position
Will Warsh say "Asymmetric" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.29
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Yes position
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
No position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.33
No position
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: March
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6.38 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 43% 8 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 65.6% 7.55 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 38% 7.5 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?Yes 36% 7.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 48% 9.13 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 71.9% 7.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 25% 6.84 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Down 65% 7.62 shares
- Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 61% 13.21 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 28% 6.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?No 72% 6.08 shares