Polymarket Trader

CherryB16

0xe6055a224d277a3eb39df9ee5ea8201c55c4ac5f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.06K
Realized PnL: $26.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $63.95
Potential payout: $14.21K
Potential profit: $14.15K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $8.73

Yes position

Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $37.37
Potential payout: $2.99K
Potential profit: $2.95K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: $17.37

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8.94
Potential payout: $2.55K
Potential profit: $2.54K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$352.16

Yes position

World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.9%
Current value: $123.32
Potential payout: $2.54K
Potential profit: $2.42K
Multiplier: 20.62x
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.6%
Current value: $81.97
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.38K
Multiplier: 17.86x
User PnL: -$46.4

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.09
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$46.91

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $252.54
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $778.23
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$15.46

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $302
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $721.73
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $35.83

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $255
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $745
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $491.37
Potential payout: $885.35
Potential profit: $393.98
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$8.63

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $45.39
Potential payout: $848.33
Potential profit: $802.94
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Kuwait sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $14.14
Potential payout: $764.29
Potential profit: $750.15
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$39.36

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $41.07
Potential payout: $746.67
Potential profit: $705.6
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.73

Yes position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $9.65
Potential payout: $742.47
Potential profit: $732.81
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$192.9

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.53
Potential payout: $642.7
Potential profit: $639.17
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$26.46

No position

Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $137.85
Potential payout: $586.62
Potential profit: $448.76
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$12.15

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $14.87
Potential payout: $531.21
Potential profit: $516.33
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$13.72

No position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $90.43
Potential payout: $328.82
Potential profit: $238.39
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $43.44

Yes position

Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $268.51
Potential profit: $257.23
Multiplier: 23.81x
User PnL: -$1.33

Yes position

Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $65.56
Potential payout: $208.12
Potential profit: $142.56
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$34.44

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $69.1
Potential profit: $68.69
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$22.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87K

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

Japan prime minister Ishiba out by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.61K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33K

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12K

Yes position

Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $993.25

Yes position

Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?

Ends Jan 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $943.74

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $922.47

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $829.9

Yes position

Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $801.57

Yes position

Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $792.69

Yes position

Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $756.05

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $735.84

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $688.71

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $686.55

Yes position

Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $684.26

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.2

Yes position

Trump x Xi talk before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $645.48

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will there be no next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Yes 4.7% 268.51 shares
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

No 25.6% 586.62 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Yes 25% 1,000 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 746.67 shares
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.2% 2,621.29 shares
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.4% 11,590.91 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 67.1% 769.23 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

No 17.7% 47.56 shares
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

No 13.7% 281.26 shares
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 0.7% 2,989.9 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 65% 769.23 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

No 35% 8.03 shares