Polymarket Trader

0xe60b7ff3d09dE59bA181C4E41b0a64dbB259098C-1762597000450

0xe60b7ff3d09de59ba181c4e41b0a64dbb259098c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $450.52
Realized PnL: $229.99
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US recession by end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $128.1
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $11.9
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $31.5

No position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $113.94
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $6.06
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $7.14

No position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $112.03
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $4.24
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $12.03

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $96.45
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.45

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $60.98
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.29
Potential profit: $47.29
User PnL: -$9.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.89
Potential profit: $41.89
User PnL: -$19.69

South Africa position

India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 1)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.99
Potential profit: $16.99
User PnL: -$9.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.32
Potential profit: $7.32
User PnL: -$3.37

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.57

No position

Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.39

No position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.22

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Down 58% 16.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Down 70% 13.97 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

No 57% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Up 82% 24.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 83% 11.93 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Up 7% 55.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Up 18% 54.95 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Down 21% 46.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Down 45% 29.04 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Down 34% 28.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Up 47% 41.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Up 70% 139.71 shares