Polymarket Trader

fa666

0xe61e98edac449f0e7d8e02d462d96cac1634493f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $168.17
Realized PnL: $811.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 74.4%
Current value: $20.08
Potential payout: $27
Potential profit: $6.92
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 57.9%
Current value: $14.97
Potential payout: $25.86
Potential profit: $10.89
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $15.82
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $4.59
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 50.4%
Current value: $9.75
Potential payout: $19.36
Potential profit: $9.61
Multiplier: 1.99x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 49.6%
Current value: $6.79
Potential payout: $13.7
Potential profit: $6.91
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $12.48
Potential profit: $0.73
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $10.86
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 75.6%
Current value: $7.93
Potential payout: $10.49
Potential profit: $2.56
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.41
Potential profit: $10.4
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Hanwha Life Esports position

Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $7.07
Potential payout: $10.25
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 49.6%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $5.06
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $4.56
Potential payout: $9.8
Potential profit: $5.24
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 1+ goals

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.61
Potential profit: $4.66
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.05

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.25
Potential profit: $9.25
User PnL: -$0.09

Yuliya Perapekhina position

ITF Monastir: Yuliya Perapekhina vs Katja Wiersholm

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $8.81
Potential payout: $9.1
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $4.14
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.05

Karolina Muchova position

Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskova

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $4.05
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Chengdu Rongcheng FC leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $8.92
Potential profit: $4.15
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: -$0.22

Benoît Saint Denis position

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $4.95
Potential payout: $8.92
Potential profit: $3.97
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $8.77
Potential payout: $8.77
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.77

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $7.28
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $1.34
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $4.96
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $3.66
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.04

Up position

XRP Up or Down - July 10, 9PM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.62
Potential profit: $8.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $3.29
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

France vs. Iraq: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.72

Under position

Panama vs. England: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.12

No position

Exact Score: Germany 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.62

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 3 Norway?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.69

Under position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 7.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.81

No position

Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goals

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.03

Under position

France vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.65

Under position

Paraguay vs. France: O/U 7.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.24

Under position

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 7.5

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.25

Under position

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.14

No position

Exact Score: South Africa 3 - 3 Canada?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.24

Under position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.98

Under position

England vs. Ghana: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.79

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.58

No position

Exact Score: Cabo Verde 3 - 3 Saudi Arabia?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.31

Under position

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.54

No position

Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Morocco?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.51

Under position

Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.39

Under position

Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.17

No position

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.29

No position

Exact Score: Germany 3 - 3 Paraguay?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.18

Under position

Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.45

No position

Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Croatia?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.25

No position

Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.42

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on July 11?

No 99.9% 5.01 shares
Bastad: Simona Waltert vs Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa 70% 7.14 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 37% 9.61 shares
Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 30% or more?

Yes 76% 6.01 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?

No 58.8% 7.17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on July 12?

No 70% 6.66 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 12?

No 53% 8.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 12?

No 86.6% 5.43 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 12?

No 98.6% 5.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 12?

No 99.6% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 13?

No 64% 5.74 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 11?

Yes 95.5% 3.81 shares