Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $124.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $67.5
Polymarket Trader
DrunkenAviator
0xe631ae5fcb5e84c2dc793eb17c2c20cb5fbd3498
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $124.5
- Realized PnL
- $44.67
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $449.55
- Potential profit
- $449.55
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.87
- Potential profit
- $237.87
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.41
- Potential profit
- $199.41
- User PnL
- -$38
Yes position
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.56
- Potential profit
- $80.56
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.51
Yes position
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.69
Yes position
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No 5% 59.41 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No 25% 40 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No 23% 20 shares
- Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes 7.1% 30.56 shares
- Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025?Yes 8.5% 48.7 shares
- Arne Slot out as Liverpool Manager in 2025?Yes 40.5% 10.06 shares
- Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Yes 3.2% 50 shares
- Will Google (GOOGL) hit $375 before 2026??Yes 8.4% 237.87 shares
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?Yes 29% 17.24 shares
- Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No 14% 50 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?No 85% 60.6 shares
- Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No 25% 100 shares