Polymarket Trader

0xe633...3a32

0xe633290772eeaaff1b923d00a4992e4512903a32

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $607.27
Realized PnL: $5.2K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.9%
Current value: $83.14
Potential payout: $2.16K
Potential profit: $2.08K
Multiplier: 25.97x
User PnL: -$142.7

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $154.37
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $910.26
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$218.25

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $285.2
Potential payout: $285.63
Potential profit: $0.43
User PnL: $216.65

Yes position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $74.18
Potential payout: $215.09
Potential profit: $140.9
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.9%
Current value: $10.38
Potential payout: $31.6
Potential profit: $21.22
Multiplier: 3.04x
User PnL: $4.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $962.19

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $714.76

Yes position

Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.34

Yes position

Exact Score: Any Other Score?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $539.01

Yes position

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384.46

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $339.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $216.3

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.89

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.62

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.69

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $152.79

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.37

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.29

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.78

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.77

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.25

Over position

United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.52

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.72

Yes position

Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.75

Yes position

United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.21

Yes position

Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.93

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.06

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Yes 21% 308.29 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Yes 24% 285.63 shares
United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 48% 76 shares
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score

Yes 62% 61.08 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?

Yes 75% 75.73 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 57.5 shares
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 27% 354.44 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-04?

Yes 72% 127.58 shares
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?

Yes 25% 439.72 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 20% 31.6 shares
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 France?

Yes 0.3% 621.53 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ assists

Yes 1% 500 shares