Polymarket Trader

0xe63e...3204

0xe63e7bea9be3a8b3e4b965d7c8afd295583b3204

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $6.47K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $3.58K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.16K

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $105.39
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$270.25

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $27.6
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$213.88

No position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.33K
User PnL: -$430.63

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $234.32
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $967.31
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$148.19

No position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $976.95
Potential profit: $976.95
User PnL: -$143.61

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $846.59
Potential payout: $846.59
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $668.21

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $669.92
Potential profit: $661.55
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$159.11

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $19.11
Potential payout: $509.57
Potential profit: $490.46
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$65.48

No position

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $245.28
Potential payout: $485.71
Potential profit: $240.43
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $208.19
Potential payout: $429.26
Potential profit: $221.07
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$5.99

Yes position

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Ends Nov 19, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $46.98
Potential payout: $375.82
Potential profit: $328.84
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$20.67

No position

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $180.32
Potential payout: $364.29
Potential profit: $183.97
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $169.69
Potential payout: $361.05
Potential profit: $191.36
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$21.66

No position

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $165.73
Potential payout: $334.8
Potential profit: $169.07
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$1.67

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $168.72
Potential payout: $334.09
Potential profit: $165.37
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$5.01

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $32.51
Potential payout: $309.58
Potential profit: $277.07
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$32.51

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $93.85
Potential payout: $274.41
Potential profit: $180.56
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: $28.84

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $153.84
Potential payout: $267.54
Potential profit: $113.7
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $9.36

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $141.87
Potential payout: $255.63
Potential profit: $113.76
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $1.28

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.17
Potential payout: $241.25
Potential profit: $239.07
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$56.67

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $237.61
Potential profit: $237.61
User PnL: -$144.94

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $47.41
Potential payout: $237.07
Potential profit: $189.66
Multiplier: 5.00x
User PnL: -$4.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 55% 231.18 shares
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 20.1% 36.73 shares
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?

No 62% 79.86 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 53% 80.45 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 19% 1,086.7 shares
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 24.4% 174.2 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 25% 605.85 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 52% 302.14 shares
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?

Yes 12% 4.72 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 80% 53.3 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 71.6% 59.55 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Yes 14% 800.47 shares