Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $10.66
- Potential payout
- $78.95
- Potential profit
- $68.29
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Polymarket Trader
0xe647...8e93
0xe6471387040bf2cc3c462d305add9b95e6fc8e93
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $20.59
- Realized PnL
- $406.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.6%
- Current value
- $9.09
- Potential payout
- $38.52
- Potential profit
- $29.43
- Multiplier
- 4.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C or higher on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.2%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.39
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.64
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.01
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.95
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.79
Up position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Down position
Solana Up or Down - July 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 31% 16.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 51% 9.8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 5?Yes 19% 78.95 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 63% 7.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 73% 13.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown 74% 6.76 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown 86% 5.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown 85% 17.65 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ETDown 85% 5.88 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 64% 7.68 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 65% 7.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown 95% 5.26 shares