Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.44
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $621.56
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.56
Polymarket Trader
armagedd0n
0xe64fefc3552125df3480e3c20fb55aaafb607d13
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.44
- Realized PnL
- $4.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $592.57
- Potential profit
- $592.57
- User PnL
- -$169.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 8AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $466
- Potential profit
- $466
- User PnL
- -$24.75
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $436.81
- Potential profit
- $436.81
- User PnL
- -$217.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $413.68
- Potential profit
- $413.68
- User PnL
- -$151.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 4PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $406.46
- Potential profit
- $406.46
- User PnL
- -$30.07
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 9AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.97
- Potential profit
- $399.97
- User PnL
- -$94.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 6AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $382.6
- Potential profit
- $382.6
- User PnL
- -$46.32
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $380.21
- Potential profit
- $380.21
- User PnL
- -$200
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 6PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.38
- Potential profit
- $374.38
- User PnL
- -$155.49
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $374.12
- Potential profit
- $374.12
- User PnL
- -$19
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 12AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.57
- Potential profit
- $343.57
- User PnL
- -$135.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.12
- Potential profit
- $343.12
- User PnL
- -$130
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 6AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $337.44
- Potential profit
- $337.44
- User PnL
- -$107.89
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.89
- Potential profit
- $328.89
- User PnL
- -$145.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.38
- Potential profit
- $316.38
- User PnL
- -$140
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.84
- Potential profit
- $308.84
- User PnL
- -$98.95
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$57.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.91
- Potential profit
- $291.91
- User PnL
- -$101.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2PM ET
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280.63
- Potential profit
- $280.63
- User PnL
- -$11.26
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $266.05
- Potential profit
- $266.05
- User PnL
- -$143.83
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.79
- Potential profit
- $256.79
- User PnL
- -$45
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250.32
- Potential profit
- $250.32
- User PnL
- -$126.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244.33
- Potential profit
- $244.33
- User PnL
- -$24.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $241.99
- Potential profit
- $241.99
- User PnL
- -$41.37
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7PM ET
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236.73
- Potential profit
- $236.73
- User PnL
- -$89.75
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 12PM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $236
- Potential profit
- $236
- User PnL
- -$78.56
Up position
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.99
- Potential profit
- $229.99
- User PnL
- -$69.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.98
- Potential profit
- $223.98
- User PnL
- -$70
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12PM ET
Ends Aug 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $223.24
- Potential profit
- $223.24
- User PnL
- -$29.8
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.85
- Potential profit
- $222.85
- User PnL
- -$110
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.9
- Potential profit
- $217.9
- User PnL
- -$100
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 8AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.45
- Potential profit
- $217.45
- User PnL
- -$120
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 3AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.05
- Potential profit
- $209.05
- User PnL
- -$106
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.96
- Potential profit
- $203.96
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $203.08
- Potential profit
- $203.08
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.45
- Potential profit
- $201.45
- User PnL
- -$13.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.33
- Potential profit
- $201.33
- User PnL
- -$32.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $199.99
- User PnL
- -$63.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 12PM ET
Ends Jan 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.38
- Potential profit
- $197.38
- User PnL
- -$47.42
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.08
- Potential profit
- $197.08
- User PnL
- -$50
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $197.05
- Potential profit
- $197.05
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.88
- Potential profit
- $189.88
- User PnL
- -$49.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 12AM ET
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $185
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185
- Potential profit
- $185
- User PnL
- -$64.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $182.63
- Potential profit
- $182.63
- User PnL
- -$62.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.42
- Potential profit
- $181.42
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 11AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180.25
- Potential profit
- $180.25
- User PnL
- -$95
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$30.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $253.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $195.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5PM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.4
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $145
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $142.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.8
Down position
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 3AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.72
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.82
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 7PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5AM ET
Ends Jan 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.92
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.1
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 23, 11AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.29
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.87
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 9, 11PM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.09
Up position
XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.28
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.18
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4PM ET
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.2
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 2AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.26
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 1PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.74
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 4AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.12
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.29
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $77.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2AM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.07
Down position
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.06
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70.4
Down position
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.56
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.47
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 5AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.56
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1PM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 1AM ET
Ends Aug 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.64
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 12PM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4AM ET
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.86
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.85
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 6PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.92
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4PM ETDown 47% 42.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4PM ETDown 61% 16.39 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 96% 130 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 92% 30 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 95.4% 45 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 92% 45 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETDown 35% 20.37 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 36% 20 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 19% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 46% 10 shares
- XRP Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 15.7% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2PM ETUp 39% 10 shares