Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $21.14
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $1.59
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Polymarket Trader
seserga
0xe65209098677fb46fb31ddbd456a3f4c007024fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $31.41
- Realized PnL
- $9.89
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $0.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.7
- Potential profit
- $10.7
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.89
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Human moon landing in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.93
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 14?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 90% 11.11 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 88% 22.73 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 87.5% 11.43 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No 86% 23.26 shares
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 10.13 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.5% 16.58 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No 93.5% 10.7 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 79% 12.66 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 77.2% 12.95 shares
- Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?Yes 99.6% 10.04 shares
- Will 170 to 199 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?Yes 0.3% 23.21 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 10.07 shares